Wednesday, January 17, 2007

Coming and Going for all the Wrong Reasons

The way we went to war in Iraq said some bad things about the American people, as well as our leadership. Naïve and myopic are words that come to mind. Naïve was the conviction that Iraqis would welcome any American dictate and policy, naïve was the conviction that the overthrow of the Ba’athist government would be the war, and that the ephemeral and studiously ignored aftermath would inevitably be easy, given the clear benevolence of American motives. Here enters the myopia which plagues us; it must be acknowledged that the real driving force behind the current “anti-war” sentiment in the country is the feeling that the war has simply gone on for too long.

The national “debate” about the invasion of Iraq in 2002 and 2003 was fueled by naiveté and myopia, leaving no room for a sober analysis of several issues. For example, President Bush was proposing that the United States do exactly what Nazis had been hanged at Nuremberg for doing and exactly what Saddam Hussein did by invading Kuwait; the United States would invade a sovereign nation that had neither attacked it or threatened it with attack. The United States would start a war. The United States was now a country that, if it unilaterally concluded that its interests were threatened, arrogated to itself the right to break the most fundamental law of civilization, the right to wage aggressive war.

Four years on, most Americans disapprove of this war. President Bush’s surge will guarantee that the war will not end in the next two years. The house-to-house battle for Baghdad, so mercifully avoided during the invasion, now awaits us. In 2003, Bush declared that America was victorious in the battle for Iraq. Four years on, the capital of Iraq is the most dangerous place on the planet. While the threat that Iraq posed in 2002 was nearly non-existent, the threat that it poses now is very, very real. All those fickle millions who were so eager to engage in this crime when there was no real threat are now equally eager to simply wash our hands of Iraq even though the threat that now exists there is far worse than we could have imagined it becoming.
Out of sight, out of mind will not work in Iraq.

And yet we must withdraw. We must withdraw because there is no American military solution to this problem. Period. When officers in the American military say this in public, that there is no American military solution to this problem, every American soldier who dies after this utterance is being murdered by his own government. Period. Americans are dying in Iraq so that Mr. Bush will be out of office when Mr. Bush’s war is lost.

We are so far behind the curve in Iraq that we are introducing new counterinsurgency strategies into a situation that has not been a classical insurgency in at least 12 months; Iraq’s biggest problem currently is the civil war, which has proven far more lethal to Iraqi people and institutions than the Sunni insurgency against American forces. By sending more troops to aid the Iraqi government, we are not putting down an insurgency against that government. We are in fact funding and arming one party to a civil war. That is what we fail to grasp; the Iraqi government is not the “democracy” fighting the “terrorists”. The Iraqi government is a group that represents one side (the Shi’a) of an ongoing civil war.

The ultimate tragedy is the manner in which the United States will leave Iraq. It will leave Iraq not because it has achieved victory or because the American people have decided that the interests of the Iraqi people are best served by a withdrawal. The United States will leave Iraq because when so many Americans clambered for war four years ago, it seemed never to dawn on them that people would die. It seemed never to dawn on them that years of effort would be needed to rebuild a brutalized society. And so, when the going got tough, Americans reached for the remote.

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

Congratulations on the blog. I hope this proves to be a success and a nice medium for intelligent debate and thought.
More importantly, I hope that no one in a decision making position forms policy based on your suggestions. While youropinion/analysis on the legal basis for our invasion is debatable at best, your willingness to chalk this up as a loss and move on is even more troubling. You do understand the chaos that will ensue after the type of departure you are calling for, and for this I give you credit. This leads me to assume you do not believe we have any chance of bringing stability.
Here in lies the fundamental difference between those who support this troop surge, and those who are callign for "redeployment". The fighting in Iraq is not simply Shia vs. Sunni, a religious war that has been going on for ages. The fight is between moderate Sunni and Shia vs. radical Sunni and Shia. This is the fight we see throughout the Muslim world. Radicals vs. moderates! We are on the side of moderation and liberty. People in Iraq will side with the central government and coalition forces when they truly believe we promise a better future. Evidence of this is the level of violence as it relates to US and Iraqi troop presence. More troops. less violence. Clear, build and hold has been successful, we just haven't had the man power or time to see this through.
There is debate in the country, as there is debate within the military. Certain generals have failed, and there projections were wrong. The idea that they speak as one is far from true. The idea that the government is murdering its troops is preposterous and irresponsible. Some "military officers" believe we should leave, and a lot of them believe we can win. So the decision is made by Commander in Chief, the two time elected President of the United States. Not opinion polls, and not opportunistic members of congress.
He has admitted mistakes, and has developed a new strategy with a timetable on the Iraqi government. Let us unite behind him and our military to aid in victory. The consequences of failure are too serious to imagine. Our children and grandchildren need us to put aside our personal dislike for the President for the good of our country. The greatest country in the history of the world. God Bless America!

wayfaring stranger said...

pgn is cogent and impassioned as always. he does well to point out that the war in iraq is actually several overlapping yet independent conflicts. there is a war between sunni arab extremists and shi'a arab extremists. this is the war which dominates our television screens. there is the nationalist, mainly sunni arab, insurgency against the presence of foreign troops in iraq. this is, in my mind, not a strategic threat to america, since it will end the day american soldiers leave iraq. there is also the Islamist, rather than nationalist, insurgency against American troops, which is more strategically dangerous because it will NOT end when Americans leave Iraq. Then there is the perenial tension between Kurds and Arabs. Notice that we have yet to adress the various wars that rage within each sectarian group, as opposed to between them. pgn's belief is that all of these convoluted rivalries can be subsumed under the greater movements of radical vs. moderate. it seems to me that the truth, the awful, awful, truth, is that the Ba'athist state was about as moderate and secular as Iraq could be expected to be. as always, the rift between pgn and myself vis a vis iraq centers on our perceptions of american power. i look at iraq as a problem that america played a part in causing but has proven unable to "fix". pgn believes that it is possible, and indeed incumbent, for america to play a leading role in "fixing" iraq. since the surge is going ahead, i pray that he is correct.

Anonymous said...

I appreciate your prayers that this is successful, and I believe them to be sincere. For your sake, my sake, and the sake of Western Civilization I hope the main stream media and "anti-war" Democrats share in your sentiments. My fear is that media outlets, namely the New York Times, have already announced that we have lost and do not want to be proven wrong. Human nature of wanting to be proven right, coupled with a hatred and disdain for the Commander and Chief may be hard to put aside. The success we may have in Baghdad can be easily overshadowed by pictures of dead civilians and American flag draped caskets. The media, along with skeptical politicians will play a role in our victory or defeat.
Sincere skeptics like wayfaring stranger are justified in there skepticism. HoweverNo serious thinker believes aphased redeployment is going to help create political stability in Iraq. There is no evidence to support this idea. Those who claim otherwise are disingenuous or misinformed. Security must precede political stability. No one knows if Gen. Petreas can pull this off, not even the President himself. They do know it is our last chance, and believe it is our best chance.
Our skepticism has been duly noted, now lets unite like the "greatest generation" did over 60 years ago and will ourselves to success. United we stand, divided we fall.

(Please forgive the typos, for some reason the comment box will not allow me to make corrections)